TX SENATE

RACE 54 OF 68 / U.S. SENATE

Dated record

STATEWIDE

The contest

James Talarico (D) / Ken Paxton (R) James Talarico (D) 50% / Ken Paxton (R) 43% NYT/Siena, released Nov 1; likely voters, +/- 3.4 points.

Election-eve watch

Election-eve update: Siena reported Talarico 50%, Paxton 43%; other late surveys included AtlasIntel 52-46 and a Trafalgar 48-48 tie. Different methods, same closely followed statewide contest.

Original sources

FINAL SIENA

Record carried from the November 2, 2026 Election Eve Atlas. Polls and ratings retain their stated dates. This edition does not contain certified results.

Previous: VA-01 · All 68 races · Next: ME SENATE

The Chaos Desk / Grey Galaxie

Join the free Chaos Desk chat · Support the free Atlas