The Desk · Daily Atlas · 68 races · Archive & sources
NOVEMBER 2, 2026 / ELECTION EVE / DATED DOSSIER
IA SENATE
RACE 58 OF 68 / U.S. SENATE
Dated record
STATEWIDE
The contest
Josh Turek (D) / Ashley Hinson (R) Josh Turek (D) 48% / Ashley Hinson (R) 47% NYT/Siena, released Nov 1; likely voters, +/- 4.7 points.
Election-eve watch
Election-eve update: Siena reported Turek 48%, Hinson 47%; the one-point survey margin makes this an especially close statewide contest.
Original sources
Record carried from the November 2, 2026 Election Eve Atlas. Polls and ratings retain their stated dates. This edition does not contain certified results.
The Chaos Desk / Grey Galaxie